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President Trump’s announcement of reciprocal tariffs on 2 April could pose headwinds to Taiwan’s economic growth owing to its large trade surplus with the U.S. However, Taiwan's real estate market is poised to show resilience in 2025 on the back of sustained domestic demand.
Our views for 2025:
- Economy & Policy: Taiwan's economy is forecasted to expand modestly in 2025. Interest rates are expected to be flat in the coming months, while U.S. trade policy uncertainty may dampen domestic business sentiment.
- Office: Relocation activity will continue to be driven by flight-to-quality. Vacancy is expected to reach a seven-year high as new supply increases, ensuring the market becomes less favourable for landlords over the course of 2025.
- Retail & Logistics: Retailers will expand cautiously as stock market volatility may weaken consumer confidence. E-commerce platforms will further enhance their digital offering, driving solid demand for modern logistics space.
- Investment: Taiwan’s uncertain economic outlook and cooling housing market will ensure total real estate investment volume declines in 2025. However, a few local insurers may gradually increase their real estate allocations this year.
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