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Affordable Housing | OCTOBER 2023
The Closing 
with Jeanne Marie
CBRE
Hello my friends, and welcome to another edition of the Closing! About a year ago, a good friend and exceptional project manager made the transition from a for- profit developer to a non-profit. We all have such different and yet similar ways of creating housing, I was curious to see what he had observed since making the transition. With the caveat that these observations are from one person’s experience, below are a few interesting snippets from our interview:

What are the primary differences between for-profit and non-profit development?
On the for-profit side, the primary underwriting criteria was how much money the project would make and whether we believed the market fundamentals would create long term growth in value. On the non-profit side, the numbers are much more fuzzy – a project could be given the greenlight because of a unique partnership or a special story. I call this "story first, numbers second". This results in very unique projects (a syndicator friend of mine called them “jewel boxes”). They might require a large public subsidy, but they also are more likely to serve neglected communities in a meaningful way.

What do you like about each?
I have found caring and motivated people on both sides. I have continuously been impressed at how much soul my non-profit colleagues bring to the work. On the flip side, there are many days where I miss the speed at which we could make decisions and pivot on the for-profit side. There are other differences; I took a pay cut when I moved to the non-profit side, but the vacation and other benefits are much better.

What do you think each one can learn from the other?
I believe there’s room for both for-profit and non-profit to learn from each other. On the non-profit side, I think there is greater opportunity to consider market forces when designing projects – as an example, sometimes our properties lack the kind of amenity space that has become increasingly common in the market. Thorough market analysis was common in my for-profit roles. In a changing market like today, I worry that neglecting this competitive mindset puts our projects at risk and might lead to slower lease up and lower resident retention in the long term.

On the for-profit side, I believe there is room to engage in more meaningful community partnerships. If the project approach in my non-profit work was “story first, numbers second,” for-profit work can sometimes feel like “numbers first…” and then nothing else. I believe there is room for projects to make money while still being intentional in uplifting communities.
Noteworthy CBRE Research
Inflation Continues to Ease; November Rate Increase Unlikely
Key Takeaway: CBRE expects that the Fed will hold rates steady in November as inflation continues to trend down and tighter financial conditions persist. However, the possibility of another rate hike in December is not completely off the table. Furthermore, we expect the economy to soften late this year, which will further limit price pressures.
READ MORE
Q3 2023 U.S. Multifamily Vacancy Index
Key Takeaway: CBRE EA estimates a Q3 2023 vacancy rate of 5.2% for our national sample of professionally-managed multifamily properties, up 130 basis points (bps) year-over-year (Y-o-Y), and up 20 bps quarter-over-quarter (Q-o-Q), which is consistent with our forecast last quarter
READ MORE
Higher Rates Push Up Prime Multifamily Cap Rates in Q3
Key Takeaway: Both going-in and exit cap rates for prime multifamily assets increased slightly in Q3 after the Federal Reserve’s 25-basis-point interest rate hike in July and the steady rise in the 10-year Treasury rate during the quarter. Although we expect that cap rates likely are near their peak, they could increase slightly into early 2024 if rates continue to rise.
READ MORE
Upcoming Events
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    Pasadena, CA | Nov 1-2, 2023
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    Chicago, IL | Nov 13-15, 2023
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Notice Board
Rates
Treasuries have continued their march higher and have reached their highest level since 2008. This calls for creative financing tricks and a lender who is actively problem solving.
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Questions?
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Other Interesting Items (OII)
Did you know that CBRE has a podcast? The Weekly Take is hosted by Spencer Levy, CBRE’s Global Client Strategist and Senior Economic Advisor for CBRE. Spencer is an engaging host and covers a wide array of real estate related topics, with over 150 episodes to date. Interesting recent topics include interview with Fortune 500 CEOs on building inclusive culter, use of Artificial Intelligence in Commercial Real Estate, Affordable Housing Investment, and so many more. 

This is one of my favorite episodes.
EPISODE 38: The Impossible Dream: How big things get done – and why many projects fail
Let's Connect.
Jeanne Marie Coronado
Vice President
+1 619 430 3770
jm.coronado@cbre.com
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